In 2015, polls just before the General Election were pointing to another hung parliament. There was a fear on the morning of the 7th of May that Ed Miliband might be able to somehow form a dreadful coalition government with Nicola Sturgeon. Slightly better, a Clegg-Cameron pact seemed a possibility also – a Tory majority seemed so distant that Lord Ashdown threatened to eat his hat should such a situation come to pass, as exit polls suggested a Tory win. The rest is history.
The reason the pollsters gave for the utter failure of the polls was that Tory voters were being shy about voting Conservative. That, when questioned on the phone or in the street by a (normally young) canvasser, they lied.
Voting Tory is a sound thing to do but back then liberal media, like the BBC, and social media (then dominated by echo chambers of leftist cliques) had managed to give the impression that Tories were regressive and untrendy; that their progressive talents were lacking and their raison d’être was essentially mean. David Cameron was portrayed as a well-off Flashman; Tories as a perpetuation of bankster greed.
Today, three things have changed which make Tory-voters feel they can come out, so to speak:
First, the opposition is even more dire than in 2015. Corbyn’s rabble has made it publicly embarrassing to be seen as a Labour voter, while Clegg’s departure has left Tim Formby Farron as the Lib Dem leader and left the Lib Dems looking even more lightweight. Even Sturgeon – solid in 2015 – is showing cracks as the SNP’s record in Scotland is being exposed and she’s no longer the strongest woman in town.
Second, Theresa May is not David Cameron. Aside from the shoe collection and expensive leather trousers, she’s the humble daughter of a vicar. She speaks up for working class people who are openly going on TV and saying they will vote Conservative for the first time in their lives. If they can say it, so can everyone.
Finally, the liberal media is still in Brexit/Trump aftershock and chasing its tail but aware enough to cover the endless mistakes of Corbyn’s Labour team, whether it’s Diane Abacus Abbott or Angela Rayner car-crashing interviews or Corbyn’s car driving over a BBC cameraman’s foot. Social media is no longer the leftie bastion it used to be – big C and small c conservatives are all over it now and the leftie minority are (often literally) muted. The numbers have never been with any kind of progressive alliance in the UK – they have become a loud-mouthed minority of irritants with a passion for socialism and Twitter has magnificently sealed them in their own echo chamber while their vehicle to power (Labour) has disintegrated and is daily even more exposed as rotten to the core.
Saying publicly that you are voting Tory is now fine. Sanity has been restored in Britain. Going out and voting is another – it’s so important to go out there on June 8th and actually vote. The alternative to Theresa May is too ghastly to contemplate.