The Brexit Election


Of course the NHS is important, as is the economy which helps fund it. ABL – anyone but Labour in charge of the economy should be capable of ensuring that both stay alive and, as Brexit uncertainty dies down, the business people of Britain stand ready to do what they do best, hopefully assisted by some tax cuts which can draw in foreign business, better jobs and more capital to UK Plc.

This upcoming election, however, is all about Brexit. Don’t be fooled into thinking otherwise. With the Conservatives and the Brexit Party you know you’ll get Brexit not Remain, whether you dislike the detail of Boris’ leaving terms or not (Boris’s deal is flawed, but it does lead to a Canada+ FTA if he wins an outright majority). With Labour, the Liberal Democrats, the SNP and others you know for certain that Brexit will die a death, as Remain – currently on the rocks and despairing at the polls which put Boris way ahead – will be slain once and for all with a Boris win.

It seems nonsensical that people will vote for the Brexit Party in seats where they will split the vote and let a Liberal Democrat or Labour candidate win. It also seems beyond ridiculous for people to vote Conservative in seats where the Brexit Party could dislodge a Liberal Democrat or Labour MP.  There has to be serious work done by the likes of Lord Ashcroft polls to test for the correct temperature of seats that Brexit candidates can hold or win as election day approaches, so leave voters win the day.

The Remainiacs are already plotting tactically:

Whether Boris does a formal deal with Farage or not is irrelevant, as what really matters is where Brexit voters mark their cross. If the 17.4m who won the referendum can reunite, then a landslide could be won. Continuity Remain are that annoying that they merit a Leave Alliance smashing them to smithereens – their tactical voting apps are already playing up, which is good news, and there seem to be gigantic splinters across groups of second referendum proponents. (Brexiteers also have their apps – but wait until the last moment until making a decision between Brexit Party and Tories as to your constituency’s status).

With the Tories likely to lose seats in London and elsewhere, a majority is far from a done deal and Boris needs a majority (at least a Conservative/BP majority) to stay in power. Victory requires the Conservatives to minimise losses in Scotland, London and in parts of the South West and to maximise gains amongst seats in the Midlands and North with small Labour majorities and a Brexit supporting majority.

For Labour to form a government after the election, there would need to be one of two possibilities – a coalition with the SNP (and the SNP would demand a second Scottish referendum as a price for this) or if those numbers are insufficient, a coalition with the SNP and a confidence and supply agreement with the Lib Dems (in exchange for a second Brexit referendum). These possibilities all represent the end of Brexit and the break-up of the UK. No sane Brit can vote for any of these parties let alone this Socialist Worker Party version of Labour – if you vote Labour you will have to live with endorsing a vile and anti-Semitic terrorist supporter masquerading as a man of peace.

So, for Brexiteers, this may well be the hold-your-nose election.

It may be that if you want any form of Brexit at all, even if you hate Boris and his deal, you must vote for the Conservatives. Or – if you are in a constituency where the Tories have no chance, but the Brexit Party are capable of winning – you must vote for the Brexit Party, even if you can’t stand Farage. These tactical voting calculations are not beyond the wit of Brexiteers if they think with head and not heart.

Distrusting Brexit Party supporters are already saying that the Conservatives under Boris will not deliver Brexit and will forget those who lend them their vote. This is far from the truth. Brexiteers need ten years in power to dispatch the Hard Left and Continuity Remain for at least a generation – Brexiteers should see themselves as stakeholders of the next Brexiteer Conservative Government if one can be formed. Brexiteers need to stick together. Old party lines have already been redrawn.

When you go into the voting booth just think of one or more of Anna Soubry, Dominic Grieve, John Bercow, Alastair “Kelly” Campbell or smirking Lady Hale. This is in effect the second referendum. Be knowledgeable about the best way to vote in your constituency. Do not let your fellow Brexiteers down. Drag voters off their death beds to vote if need be.

It should be a good Christmas this year.

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