Bursting the Cardiff Bay Bubble

BY PAUL DAVIES Last weekend at our Welsh Conservative conference in Llangollen, I told some hard truths to the members of the Cardiff Bay Bubble. The Bubble is a fragile and delicate entity, and is fiercely protected by the elite within it – and by those who wish to be in it. Its devotees took to social media to pillory the Welsh Conservative heretic – … Continue reading Bursting the Cardiff Bay Bubble

The Dwindling Sect of Rejoin

BY EFFIE DEANS I was sleeping when we left the EU. It is a matter of complete indifference to me if a fifty pence coin turns up in my change marking the event. If something about being European trends on Twitter I feel slightly amused that some people might think that such things matter. Symbolism doesn’t matter. Reality matters. It’s already clear that nothing bad … Continue reading The Dwindling Sect of Rejoin

Fatal Idée Fixe

BY DOMINIC WIGHTMAN Sport teaches us the consequences of changing parameters. From racing – the softness of the turf. From fly-fishing – the entomology of larvae. From cricket – final innings, spinner-exploitable pitch cracks. In short, there are horses for courses, flies for certain rivers and months; on cloudy days some bowlers worth shining the conker for. Parameters are rarely if ever fixed entities. The … Continue reading Fatal Idée Fixe

The Winner Takes it All

BY DAVID EYLES Background My analyses of Conservative held constituencies was conducted in July 2018. The first part of the two articles is here. The second part is here. These two articles, and the analyses behind them, looked solely at the Tories by examining each constituency and then interrogating them with a very simple model to test their resilience to attack by a determined and organised UKIP. … Continue reading The Winner Takes it All